Recently, the domestic economy is not optimistic. It stands to reason, RMB appreciation, and that is worth the money, it should be something before one dollar is now as long as 9 or even 8 Mao Mao can be purchased; but Now the domestic form, in addition to rising wages have not risen all the rest outside.
Xinhua reported: Since August, Beijing has the market rising oil price shocks. into November, the price of rice, flour price, vegetables and non-staple food prices rose in varying degrees. report that is subject to international market prices of soybean, causing oil prices to rise. but follow the trend and rose rice, 25 kilos of strong flour or up to 12% or more, 500 grams of rice up 6 cents. It is understood that in Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, grain and other necessities of life is Going once, and continued more than a month, including flour, cooking oil has reached the maximum increase, respectively, and two into one into.
agricultural prices that China's economic development and improvement. Meanwhile, the prices of agricultural products to increase the income of farmers, safeguard social stability to the country's development of a good domestic environment, the development of the country beneficial because the number of Chinese farmers, after all, the proportion of the total population of more than 70% thing.
However, the four cities in China the prices of daily necessities decision outside chance. lasts 7 months and the macro-control Without a stable housing prices, on the contrary, lead to soaring prices. long ago economists warned that the real estate bubble will lead to inflation, inflation will lead to economic crisis. However, the sound is too weak, are now signs that Inflation is approaching us step by step.
Tokyo in 1996 compared, 1997, Hong Kong, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen city of the four high prices, real estate bubble burst before the signs have emerged. One has been trying to gain and continue to drive up the price of the local government, economic law will usher in cruel punishment. because this round of inflation in the case of unprepared issued, may not be officially recognized, but it actually had come. The inflation in the bud selected a best time of economic crisis led to mm2007 New Year's Day and Spring Festival ago. Therefore, more harmful and destructive. If one day also started up instant noodles price, this economic crisis has not curbed.
daily necessities, water and oil and gas in the waves of price increases and overall price increases, the rich class in China does not have any impact on normal life, but thousands of ordinary citizens will have to pay more wealth to maintain living standards as the original, that is, China's high prices, indirectly, by the ordinary city residents to foot the bill, the Japanese people is to spend 15 years, Hong Kong people is spent 14 years. So, China's urban residents in many years will it take?
response to the coming inflation, the National Natural has the financial means. However, the Chinese yuan in the international market by the U.S. attack within a year appreciation 5%, and there continue to appreciate the space. China's trade surplus will gradually narrow the appreciation of the yuan, the risk of the international market has been on the rise. The necessity of a comprehensive domestic market prices will directly affect the consumer. Finally , forcing the central bank to increase the circulation of RMB, China's inflation this outbreak. This crisis may be near.
RMB is the experience in the international currency market exchange system reform in China has not had to do, we are already know the dollar is going to do? However, we also can not help solve the problem of the international market, the RMB in the country is so embarrassing. in the real estate prices, driven by necessity comprehensive price increases, the formation of two utterly different international and domestic different markets. In a sense, this market will move toward the capital of excessive speculation. it plainly, will exacerbate internal rich-poor divide in Chinese society, foreign speculators an opportunity to the capital.
If deeper level of analysis, the renminbi seems to be hit from different aspects of the siege, trying to 30 next year in China gradually eating away the fruits of economic development. Next, the necessities of life will rise further aggravated further decline in the purchasing power of the people, further reduced the domestic market, China The excess production capacity further, and finally, inevitably lead to a large number of small and medium enterprises bankruptcy, the economic crisis that come.
really want to defuse the crisis, the current economic situation, the further increase the intensity of macroeconomic regulation and control, rationalize management system of the real estate market and take effective measures to resolutely put prices down, so that urban residents in the process of falling prices in order to feel the power of the Chinese economy, thereby enhancing confidence in the future. Perhaps this is the best thing to do one thing, despite some cosmetic work done.
we must see clearly the danger of high prices, especially for the destruction of Chinese society is unprecedented. Maybe not too pessimistic now, everything should be turn. Everyone knows that China's economy has undergone major problem, as an apparent failure of high-speed train, roaring rumble ran forward, I do not know when it will be derailed, or subversion. Some economists predict that China's economy in 2008 will be a hard landing, then, social unrest is inevitable.
then, out of such a big problem, what exactly is the crux of the problem then?
Development and Reform Commission said Ma Xiaohe Experts: China's surplus is being used by a surplus to the overall evolution. due to overcapacity, domestic demand is not busy, forced to export Chinese products, but also led to a lot of trade friction, the risk of over-reliance on the international market is growing. Ma Xiaohe example: to the world the Chinese people every to provide a pair of shoes, shoes can be seen how much excess capacity .11 23 May, central bank Deputy Governor Su Ning also said that the proportion of GDP, final consumption in China from the 80s of last century more than 62% to 2005, household consumption rate decline from 1991 to 2005, have reached historically low levels. The rate of household consumption in China continued to decline at the same time, the world's average consumption rate of 78% m79%, compared with the large difference as heaven and earth.
the above two, one is macroeconomic expert, a financial authority, but that is a common problem that is not busy because of domestic demand caused by excess capacity, if the risk of a large international market, China will have thousands the survival of thousands of industrial enterprises are facing the danger.
Let us look at recent years to promote China's rapid economic development is motivated by anything: If the Overview of China's economic situation can be found to promote rapid economic growth in China's first investment, the second the consumer and the third is exported, we can say it is neck and neck people will theory of value are not taken into account in?
more careful analysis, you will find very interesting phenomenon: First, the local government re-investment, the performance of previous years is the ; hot, and then later is now the household appliances, small shoes, socks, cigarette lighters, an ancient brain export. to to is possible in 2007 will appreciate by 5% a year, equivalent to the first 10 years of the total rate of appreciation. then the consequences of what is it? many economists closely guarded secret, I can boldly tell you, the result is a lot from the different channels of RMB flow outward, the forces of international money laundering took the opportunity to intervene, and even corrupt officials, the money can be washed out of China.
can be said that before 2007, only heard that foreigners come to China to money laundering, this situation will therefore change, the Chinese people had finally went abroad to money laundering. To put it more in-depth that the Chinese people, the wealth created by others quietly to see how to solve the problem of overcapacity. In fact, very simple, excess capacity solution is to stimulate consumption, and the only way to stimulate consumption is to reduce prices. prices did not fall, the Chinese people will surely have more expectations for the future pressure and reluctant to spend, there are still some money to become a house slave consumption. Mr. Ma Xiaohe, said that half of China's industrial utilization below 50%, so, in order to reduce risk, we must expand domestic demand. and how to expand domestic demand what?
Chinese people's consumption rate, the world average consumption rate is 78% m79%
average price earnings ratio of Chinese residents is one to ten, the world's average price earnings ratio is one to two-phase
control, the Chinese economy on the exposed root of the problem is far too high a price to plunder the wealth of Chinese residents a space, but also what means to spend? So the Chinese people's consumption rate hit a record low. Some experts predict that China's housing Price dropped a point each, will market more than 100 billion a year increase in consumption, while China's house prices from the first three quarters of 2006 combined average price, at least 30% of the decline in space, that is, as long as China Housing 30% price decline in the Chinese market will increase by 300 billion a year total spending, China's economic problems are solved, the Chinese people but also from a better life.
the contrary, if the leaders of our decision not to control things this situation, our economy would collapse, China will be?? China's national strength and weakness, the military will suffer a strong blow outside. We all know that we are now in a number of adverse international environment. the face of the current complicated international situation , China must have the ability to win two wars, one military war, the second is economic war.
other countries by means of war to win other people's wealth in human history is very common. Even in the 21st century are also seen. In order to protect lives and property of Chinese people, and the possible outbreak of military conflict, China must build a strong army, a strong navy, strong and powerful Air Force Space Force (Space Force).
in mankind enters the 21st century, who occupied the high ground of space, grasps the initiative in future wars. Any idea of demilitarization of space, only a pipe dream!
sage put it well: to be beaten backward ! China only with a completely destroyed his opponent's strength, do not dare to bully the Chinese talent.
the same time, mankind enters the 21st century, the globalization of international exchange and trade, the economy of a new war ---- war, has replaced the military war, as part of the world to win the other part of the property were the primary means of
1997 financial crisis in Southeast Asia is an example of economic war. backwardness of the Southeast Asian countries was a major blow. the international financial speculators to to use economic means to achieve the previous goals to achieve the means of war.
little later time in the Battle of Hong Kong's financial, when he was Chief Secretary for Administration Donald Tsang and Hong Kong Financial Secretary, Mr Joseph Yam, the Chinese Central Government the support of the intervention with a large foreign exchange reserves of Hong Kong's stock market. China's central government sent two central bank vice governor of Hong Kong, requiring all Chinese-funded institutions in Hong Kong, go all out to support the Hong Kong Government's help drive action. After several months of the contest, the Hong Kong government successfully fought off Hong Kong as an international financial speculators attempt to cash machines. that the struggle is very intense, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index change of 1 point, futures trading will be a difference of 230 million Hong Kong dollars. Although the Hong Kong Monetary
Battle of the past several years, I have been thinking, if not a strong backing of China, will not happen, the mainstream of today's international society There are many things to learn.
this one on oil, China is to spend several hundred billion dollars a year. Now is the need to Han, Han international commodity markets on the rise. can be said to .
However, oil and other commodity prices on the Chinese economy is not the most serious hazards. real possibility of serious harm to China's economy is the RMB exchange rate system and soaring real estate market, I always think someone is
RMB exchange rate as a breakthrough, bring down the Chinese economy to win the Chinese people's economic achievements. from which to float the RMB appreciation and shouted, I seem to smell the smell of gunpowder in military warfare.
than singing now have a say be better heard saying, let the yuan float freely determined by the market.
Do ghosts decided to market it? determined by the market, that sounds fair, we have the right. But a closer look, Which markets in the world not by the small number of people speaking in it? let the RMB exchange rate determined by the market, the truth is, they determine.
Chinese government and people must not forget that the financial turmoil in Southeast Asia in 1997. Now foreign investors a considerable part of the ambush laid. they so broke the door of the United States to China (RMB exchange rate to float freely), the renminbi pedestal, profiteering.
In short, China must build a fearing neither hardship nor death the spirit of the powerful army, a strong navy, strong and powerful Air Force Space Force (Space Force) to address possible military war. Meanwhile, the Chinese have to build love of country, with an international perspective, the financial well versed in international competition rules,
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